← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-33JAN01-T1.25
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2032 be above 1.25%?
79.0% implied · bid 66.0¢ · ask 92.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 80.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 26.0¢ spread.
Implied probability80.0%
Bid / ask / mid66.0¢ / 92.0¢ / 79.0¢
Spread26.0¢ (32.9%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 53% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance53% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 55 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.53
RSI (14, hourly)55.0
Realized vol 7d0.99pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2316d 21h.
Time to resolve2316d 21h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%