a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-34JAN01-T1.00

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.00%?

81.5% implied · bid 69.0¢ · ask 94.0¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 76.0%, flat over 24h, on a 25.0¢ spread.

Implied probability76.0%
Bid / ask / mid69.0¢ / 94.0¢ / 81.5¢
Spread25.0¢ (30.7%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 91% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance91% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2682d 21h.

Time to resolve2682d 21h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth