← Explore · Market KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-34JAN01-T1.50
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.50%?
79.0% implied · bid 66.0¢ · ask 92.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 72.0%, down 4.5pt over 24h, on a 26.0¢ spread.
Implied probability72.0%
Bid / ask / mid66.0¢ / 92.0¢ / 79.0¢
Spread26.0¢ (32.9%)
Change 24h-4.50pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 91% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance91% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-3.54
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.53pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2682d 21h.
Time to resolve2682d 21h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%