← Explore · Market KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-34JAN01-T1.75

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2033 be above 1.75%?

70.5% implied · bid 50.0¢ · ask 91.0¢

The market prices this at 81.0%, down 9.5pt over 24h, on a 41.0¢ spread.

Implied probability81.0%

Bid / ask / mid50.0¢ / 91.0¢ / 70.5¢

Spread41.0¢ (58.2%)

Change 24h-9.50pt

Change 7d-3.00pt

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 39% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance39% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

RSI 38 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.22

RSI (14, hourly)37.8

Realized vol 7d1.57pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 2682d 21h.

Time to resolve2682d 21h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%