← Explore · Market KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-35JAN01-T1.00
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2034 be above 1.00%?
83.5% implied · bid 77.0¢ · ask 90.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 79.0%, down 2.5pt over 24h, on a 13.0¢ spread.
Implied probability79.0%
Bid / ask / mid77.0¢ / 90.0¢ / 83.5¢
Spread13.0¢ (15.6%)
Change 24h-2.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 18% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance18% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 54 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 8.8σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-8.83
RSI (14, hourly)53.8
Realized vol 7d0.85pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3047d 21h.
Time to resolve3047d 21h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%