← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-36JAN01-T1.75
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2035 be above 1.75%?
65.5% implied · bid 61.0¢ · ask 70.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 70.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.
Implied probability70.0%
Bid / ask / mid61.0¢ / 70.0¢ / 65.5¢
Spread9.0¢ (13.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$25 / $7
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score5.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 375257075071298.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean375257075071298.50
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3411d 21h.
Time to resolve3411d 21h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%