← Explore · Market KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-37JAN01-T1.00
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.00%?
70.5% implied · bid 46.0¢ · ask 95.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 68.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 49.0¢ spread.
Implied probability68.0%
Bid / ask / mid46.0¢ / 95.0¢ / 70.5¢
Spread49.0¢ (69.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-11.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 46 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 4.6σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-4.55
RSI (14, hourly)46.2
Realized vol 7d0.72pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3778d 22h.
Time to resolve3778d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%