← Explore · Market KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-37JAN01-T1.25

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.25%?

79.5% implied · bid 67.0¢ · ask 92.0¢

The market prices this at 71.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 25.0¢ spread.

Implied probability71.0%

Bid / ask / mid67.0¢ / 92.0¢ / 79.5¢

Spread25.0¢ (31.4%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-1.50pt

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance9% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 6.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-6.44

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d1.69pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 3778d 22h.

Time to resolve3778d 22h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%