← Explore · Market KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-37JAN01-T1.50
Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 1.50%?
67.0% implied · bid 42.0¢ · ask 92.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 71.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 50.0¢ spread.
Implied probability71.0%
Bid / ask / mid42.0¢ / 92.0¢ / 67.0¢
Spread50.0¢ (74.6%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+7.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.15
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d2.69pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 3778d 22h.
Time to resolve3778d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%