a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-37JAN01-T2.25

Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2036 be above 2.25%?

59.5% implied · bid 35.0¢ · ask 84.0¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 72.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 49.0¢ spread.

Implied probability72.0%
Bid / ask / mid35.0¢ / 84.0¢ / 59.5¢
Spread49.0¢ (82.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-6.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.64
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d3.67pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3778d 22h.

Time to resolve3778d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth