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← Explore · Market KXFUSION-35-JAN01

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

47.8% implied · bid 44.2¢ · ask 51.3¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 44.1%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 7.1¢ spread.

Implied probability44.1%
Bid / ask / mid44.2¢ / 51.3¢ / 47.8¢
Spread7.1¢ (14.9%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7d+0.15pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$581 / $259
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score14.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.85
RSI (14, hourly)50.1
Realized vol 7d3.00pt
Change 1h+0.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4867d 7h.

Time to resolve4867d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth