← Explore · Market KXFUSION-40-JAN01

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

54.8% implied · bid 51.5¢ · ask 58.0¢

The market prices this at 51.4%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 6.5¢ spread.

Implied probability51.4%

Bid / ask / mid51.5¢ / 58.0¢ / 54.8¢

Spread6.5¢ (11.9%)

Change 24h+0.05pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Thin (score 18/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$359 / $356

Imbalance9% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score17.9 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-3.94

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d1.16pt

Change 1h+0.05pt

Resolves in 4867d 7h.

Time to resolve4867d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%