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← Explore · Market KXFYREFESTPRICE-30-1250

How much will a Fyre Festival 2 General Admission Ticket cost?

51.0% implied · bid 47.0¢ · ask 55.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 65.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability65.0%
Bid / ask / mid47.0¢ / 55.0¢ / 51.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (15.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$47 / $55
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 63 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 40.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean40.07
RSI (14, hourly)62.5
Realized vol 7d0.60pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1215d 7h.

Time to resolve1215d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth