← Explore · Market KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-FMER

Will Chancellor of Germany be the first to leave office?

9.5% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 13.0¢

The market prices this at 7.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability7.0%

Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 9.5¢

Spread7.0¢ (73.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-2.00pt

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$52 / $131

Imbalance2% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score15.1 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.13

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d4.85pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 6694d 7h.

Time to resolve6694d 7h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%