← Explore · Market KXG7LEADEROUT-26JUL20-KSTA
Will Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be the first to leave office?
4.0% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 5.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability5.0%
Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 5.0¢ / 4.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (50.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$39 / $20
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.33
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.43pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6694d 7h.
Time to resolve6694d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%