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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXGDPYEAR-29-B2.3

GDP growth in 2029?

17.5% implied · bid 15.0¢ · ask 20.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 16.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability16.0%
Bid / ask / mid15.0¢ / 20.0¢ / 17.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (28.6%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16 / $201
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.35
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d2.30pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1272d 6h.

Time to resolve1272d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth