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← Explore · Market KXGDPYEAR-33-B0.3

GDP growth in 2033?

10.0% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 12.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 9.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 10.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (40.0%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+5.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$22 / $95
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 53 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.47
RSI (14, hourly)53.1
Realized vol 7d3.30pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2734d 7h.

Time to resolve2734d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth