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← Explore · Market KXGDPYEAR-33-B1.8

GDP growth in 2033?

11.0% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 14.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 12.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.

Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 11.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (54.5%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d+1.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 12% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$28 / $29
Imbalance12% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.91
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d1.98pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2734d 7h.

Time to resolve2734d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth