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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXGDPYEAR-33-B2.8

GDP growth in 2033?

5.5% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 6.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 6.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability6.0%
Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 6.0¢ / 5.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13 / $22
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.58
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.84pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2733d 6h.

Time to resolve2733d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth