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← Explore · Market KXGDPYEAR-35-B1.8

GDP growth in 2035?

14.0% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 16.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 13.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 16.0¢ / 14.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (28.6%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d+2.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 14% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $32
Imbalance14% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 79 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.75
RSI (14, hourly)78.6
Realized vol 7d0.95pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3464d 7h.

Time to resolve3464d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth