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← Explore · Market KXGDPYEAR-35-B2.3

GDP growth in 2035?

13.0% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 18.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 14.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 10.0¢ spread.

Implied probability14.0%
Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 13.0¢
Spread10.0¢ (76.9%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d+4.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16 / $36
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 36 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.28
RSI (14, hourly)35.6
Realized vol 7d6.02pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3464d 7h.

Time to resolve3464d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth