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← Explore · Market KXGDPYEAR-36-B1.8

GDP growth in 2036?

23.5% implied · bid 19.0¢ · ask 28.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 25.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.

Implied probability25.0%
Bid / ask / mid19.0¢ / 28.0¢ / 23.5¢
Spread9.0¢ (38.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-14.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 21% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$19 / $2
Imbalance21% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score5.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.41
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d3.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4136d 7h.

Time to resolve4136d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth