← Explore · Market KXGDPYEAR-36-B2.3
GDP growth in 2036?
10.5% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 12.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 8.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability8.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 10.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (28.6%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d-0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$25 / $30
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 51 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.66
RSI (14, hourly)50.6
Realized vol 7d6.68pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 4136d 7h.
Time to resolve4136d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%