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← Explore · Market KXGDPYEAR-36-B2.8

GDP growth in 2036?

8.0% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 9.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 9.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 8.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (25.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-2.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$28 / $23
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.23
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.48pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4136d 7h.

Time to resolve4136d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth