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← Explore · Market KXGDPYEAR-36-T0.1

GDP growth in 2036?

10.5% implied · bid 10.0¢ · ask 11.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 11.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid10.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (9.5%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$56 / $28
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 54 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.79
RSI (14, hourly)53.8
Realized vol 7d0.63pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 4136d 7h.

Time to resolve4136d 7h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth