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← Explore · Market KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-GRE

Will Greens win the next election to the German Bundestag?

2.5% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 5.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 3.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability3.0%
Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 5.0¢ / 2.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (200.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $37
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 52 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.29
RSI (14, hourly)51.7
Realized vol 7d1.73pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1298d 6h.

Time to resolve1298d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth