← Explore · Market KXGERELECTION-29MAR25-SPD
Will SPD win the next election to the German Bundestag?
4.0% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 7.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 4.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
Implied probability4.0%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 4.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (150.0%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2 / $35
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.84
RSI (14, hourly)24.7
Realized vol 7d6.06pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1298d 6h.
Time to resolve1298d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%