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← Explore · Market KXGOLFMAJOR-30-SBUR

Will Sam Burns win a golf major championship after June 22, 2026 and before 2030?

50.5% implied · bid 4.0¢ · ask 97.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 97.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 93.0¢ spread.

Implied probability97.0%
Bid / ask / mid4.0¢ / 97.0¢ / 50.5¢
Spread93.0¢ (184.2%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance16% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.84
RSI (14, hourly)49.7
Realized vol 7d23.51pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1388d 5h.

Time to resolve1388d 5h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth