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← Explore · Market KXINDIANPM-29APR30-NMOD

Will Narendra Modi become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?

52.0% implied · bid 51.0¢ · ask 53.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 51.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability51.0%
Bid / ask / mid51.0¢ / 53.0¢ / 52.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 17% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $139
Imbalance17% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 7.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-7.48
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.19pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1334d 5h.

Time to resolve1334d 5h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth