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← Explore · Market KXINDIANPM-29APR30-RGAN

Will Rahul Gandhi become Prime Minister of India following the next Indian general election?

6.0% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 11.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 10.0%, down 5.5pt over 24h, on a 10.0¢ spread.

Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 6.0¢
Spread10.0¢ (166.7%)
Change 24h-5.50pt
Change 7d-0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $5
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 46 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.64
RSI (14, hourly)46.4
Realized vol 7d2.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1334d 6h.

Time to resolve1334d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth