← Explore · Market KXISRDEFMIN-30-ALIE
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Avigdor Lieberman is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?
26.5% implied · bid 22.0¢ · ask 31.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 15.0%, down 5.0pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.
Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid22.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 26.5¢
Spread9.0¢ (34.0%)
Change 24h-5.00pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$44 / $62
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score5.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 54 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.19
RSI (14, hourly)53.8
Realized vol 7d6.76pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1522d 6h.
Time to resolve1522d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%