← Explore · Market KXISRDEFMIN-30-BGAN

Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Benny Gantz is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?

5.0% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 9.0¢

The market prices this at 5.0%, flat over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability5.0%

Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 5.0¢

Spread8.0¢ (160.0%)

Change 24hn/a

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $18

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score10.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.00pt

Change 1hn/a

Resolves in 1522d 6h.

Time to resolve1522d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%

No price history yet.

No history yet.