← Explore · Market KXISRDEFMIN-30-GEIS

Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Gadi Eisenkot is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?

5.0% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 9.0¢

The market prices this at 5.0%, down 38.0pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability5.0%

Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 5.0¢

Spread8.0¢ (160.0%)

Change 24h-38.00pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $18

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score10.0 / 100

RSI 46 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.73

RSI (14, hourly)45.8

Realized vol 7d10.35pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1522d 6h.

Time to resolve1522d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%