← Explore · Market KXISRDEFMIN-30-IKAT

Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that Israel Katz is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election before Oct 28, 2030?

48.5% implied · bid 45.0¢ · ask 52.0¢

The market prices this at 45.0%, down 19.5pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability45.0%

Bid / ask / mid45.0¢ / 52.0¢ / 48.5¢

Spread7.0¢ (14.4%)

Change 24h-19.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$88 / $111

Imbalance13% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score15.1 / 100

RSI 38 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.41

RSI (14, hourly)38.2

Realized vol 7d4.96pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1522d 6h.

Time to resolve1522d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%