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← Explore · Market KXJOHNNYDEPP-35-JOH

Will Johnny Depp be casted in the next Pirates of the Caribbean?

77.5% implied · bid 72.0¢ · ask 83.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 83.0%, up 8.5pt over 24h, on a 11.0¢ spread.

Implied probability83.0%
Bid / ask / mid72.0¢ / 83.0¢ / 77.5¢
Spread11.0¢ (14.2%)
Change 24h+8.50pt
Change 7d+9.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 65 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.14
RSI (14, hourly)65.5
Realized vol 7d2.23pt
Change 1h+8.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3041d 6h.

Time to resolve3041d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth