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← Explore · Market KXJPMCEONEW-30-TR

Will Troy Rohrbaugh succeed Jamie Dimon as CEO of JPMorgan?

48.0% implied · bid 44.0¢ · ask 52.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 52.0%, down 2.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability52.0%
Bid / ask / mid44.0¢ / 52.0¢ / 48.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (16.7%)
Change 24h-2.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$220 / $260
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 5.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean5.47
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.05pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1215d 6h.

Time to resolve1215d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth