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← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXLFPRATEEOY-31JAN10-T57.50

Will U.S. labor force participation rate for December 2030 be above 57.50%?

85.5% implied · bid 85.0¢ · ask 86.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 88.0%, down 8.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability88.0%
Bid / ask / mid85.0¢ / 86.0¢ / 85.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h-8.50pt
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,100
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,706 / $7,198
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 10 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.07
RSI (14, hourly)10.0
Realized vol 7d7.15pt
Change 1h-0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1595d 4h.

Time to resolve1595d 4h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth