← Explore · Market KXMAMDANIOUT-26AUG-27JAN01
Will Zohran Mamdani announce their departure as Mayor of New York City before Jan 1, 2027?
0.5% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 1.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability1.0%
Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 1.0¢ / 0.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (200.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $139
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.79
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.41pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1222d 6h.
Time to resolve1222d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%