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← Explore · Market KXMARRIAGESTYLESKRAVITZ-HSZK-27JAN01

Will Harry Styles and Zoe Kravitz be married Before Jan 1, 2027?

27.5% implied · bid 24.0¢ · ask 31.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 24.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.

Implied probability24.0%
Bid / ask / mid24.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 27.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (25.5%)
Change 24h+6.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$47 / $66
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 49 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.53
RSI (14, hourly)48.9
Realized vol 7d1.80pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1215d 6h.

Time to resolve1215d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth