← Explore · Market KXMARRIAGESTYLESKRAVITZ-HSZK-27JUL01
Will Harry Styles and Zoe Kravitz be married Before Jul 1, 2027?
36.0% implied · bid 32.0¢ · ask 40.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 39.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.
Implied probability39.0%
Bid / ask / mid32.0¢ / 40.0¢ / 36.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (22.2%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$64 / $80
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 55 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 11.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean10.98
RSI (14, hourly)54.5
Realized vol 7d0.49pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1215d 6h.
Time to resolve1215d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%