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← Explore · Market KXMARRIAGESTYLESKRAVITZ-HSZK-28JAN01

Will Harry Styles and Zoe Kravitz be married Before Jan 1, 2028?

74.5% implied · bid 51.0¢ · ask 98.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 49.0%, flat over 24h, on a 47.0¢ spread.

Implied probability49.0%
Bid / ask / mid51.0¢ / 98.0¢ / 74.5¢
Spread47.0¢ (63.1%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 80% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance80% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1215d 6h.

Time to resolve1215d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth