← Explore · Market KXMLBDEBUT-EHOLLIDAY-29AUG01
Will Ethan Holliday play in a game for any team in the MLB before Aug 1, 2029?
49.5% implied · bid 46.0¢ · ask 53.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 68.0%, flat over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.
Implied probability68.0%
Bid / ask / mid46.0¢ / 53.0¢ / 49.5¢
Spread7.0¢ (14.1%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 12% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$92 / $111
Imbalance12% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1519d 6h.
Time to resolve1519d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
No price history yet.
Probability timeline
No history yet.