← Explore · Market KXMLBDEBUT-EHOLLIDAY-30AUG01

Will Ethan Holliday play in a game for any team in the MLB before Aug 1, 2030?

77.0% implied · bid 73.0¢ · ask 81.0¢

The market prices this at 94.0%, up 27.0pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability94.0%

Bid / ask / mid73.0¢ / 81.0¢ / 77.0¢

Spread8.0¢ (10.4%)

Change 24h+27.00pt

Change 7d+0.50pt

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$148 / $162

Imbalance27% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score10.2 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.41

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d6.29pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1519d 5h.

Time to resolve1519d 5h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%