← Explore · Market KXMLBDEBUT-EHOLLIDAY-30MAY01

Will Ethan Holliday play in a game for any team in the MLB before May 1, 2030?

75.0% implied · bid 71.0¢ · ask 79.0¢

The market prices this at 94.0%, up 25.0pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability94.0%

Bid / ask / mid71.0¢ / 79.0¢ / 75.0¢

Spread8.0¢ (10.7%)

Change 24h+25.00pt

Change 7d+0.50pt

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 21% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$144 / $158

Imbalance21% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score10.2 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.87

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d5.73pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1519d 5h.

Time to resolve1519d 5h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%