← Explore · Market KXMLBDEBUT-EHOLLIDAY-30NOV01
Will Ethan Holliday play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2030?
80.5% implied · bid 76.0¢ · ask 85.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 94.0%, up 30.5pt over 24h, on a 9.0¢ spread.
Implied probability94.0%
Bid / ask / mid76.0¢ / 85.0¢ / 80.5¢
Spread9.0¢ (11.2%)
Change 24h+30.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 34% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$152 / $170
Imbalance34% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score5.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.75
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d7.05pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1519d 5h.
Time to resolve1519d 5h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%