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← Explore · Market KXMLBDEBUT-GEMERSON-30AUG01

Will Grady Emerson play in a game for any team in the MLB before Aug 1, 2030?

48.0% implied · bid 46.0¢ · ask 50.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 49.0%, flat over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability49.0%
Bid / ask / mid46.0¢ / 50.0¢ / 48.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (8.3%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$92 / $3
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2250d 5h.

Time to resolve2250d 5h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth