a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market KXMLBDEBUT-GEMERSON-30NOV01

Will Grady Emerson play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2030?

60.5% implied · bid 60.0¢ · ask 61.0¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 61.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability61.0%
Bid / ask / mid60.0¢ / 61.0¢ / 60.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.7%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 23% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$114 / $134
Imbalance23% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1hn/a

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 2250d 5h.

Time to resolve2250d 5h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

No price history yet.

Probability timeline

No history yet.

Order-book depth