← Explore · Market KXMLBDEBUT-GEMERSON-31NOV01

Will Grady Emerson play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2031?

73.5% implied · bid 71.0¢ · ask 76.0¢

The market prices this at 75.0%, up 26.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability75.0%

Bid / ask / mid71.0¢ / 76.0¢ / 73.5¢

Spread5.0¢ (6.8%)

Change 24h+26.00pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 49% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$142 / $8

Imbalance49% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score25.1 / 100

RSI 49 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.48

RSI (14, hourly)49.3

Realized vol 7d8.12pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 2250d 5h.

Time to resolve2250d 5h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%