← Explore · Market KXMLBDEBUT-RCHOLOWSKY-30MAY01

Will Roch Cholowsky play in a game for any team in the MLB before May 1, 2030?

85.0% implied · bid 83.0¢ · ask 87.0¢

The market prices this at 83.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability83.0%

Bid / ask / mid83.0¢ / 87.0¢ / 85.0¢

Spread4.0¢ (4.7%)

Change 24h-0.50pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15 / $196

Imbalance27% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score30.1 / 100

RSI 53 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 5.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-5.09

RSI (14, hourly)52.9

Realized vol 7d0.63pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 1884d 6h.

Time to resolve1884d 6h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Sum of outcomes100.0%