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← Explore · Market KXMLBDEBUT-RCHOLOWSKY-30NOV01

Will Roch Cholowsky play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2030?

91.0% implied · bid 88.0¢ · ask 94.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 88.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.

Implied probability88.0%
Bid / ask / mid88.0¢ / 94.0¢ / 91.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (6.6%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 21/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$176 / $1,069
Imbalance27% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.27
RSI (14, hourly)49.7
Realized vol 7d7.37pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 1884d 6h.

Time to resolve1884d 6h
Resolution sourcemanual-review
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth